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MARKET STRUCTURE

Distribution agreements are becoming the stablecoin business model.

Reserve income may begin with the issuer, but wallets, exchanges and payment platforms increasingly negotiate for the economics created by the balances they distribute.

RESEARCH QUESTION

If stablecoin issuers earn on reserves, how much of that advantage remains with the issuer once distribution partners control where users hold and transact?

KEY JUDGMENTS
  1. 01

    Reserve income is gross economics; distribution payments can consume a substantial share before operating expenses.

  2. 02

    A distributor's leverage comes from persistent balances and default placement, not only transaction volume.

  3. 03

    Rewards can accelerate adoption, but operational utility and redemption quality determine whether balances remain after incentives change.

SCOPE & LIMITS

This note uses public disclosures from Circle and Paxos to examine issuer-to-distributor economics. Contract terms differ by partner and are not fully public, so the analysis does not estimate a universal revenue share or forecast issuer profitability.

Start below reserve income, not above it

The simple stablecoin model is familiar: users hold a non-yielding token, the issuer invests eligible reserves, and the issuer retains the return. Public-company disclosures show why that picture is incomplete. The issuer may pay exchanges, wallets and other partners to acquire, hold and distribute the stablecoin.

Circle reported $652.5 million of reserve income and $405.4 million of distribution and transaction costs for the first quarter of 2026. Those are company-wide accounting categories, not a clean unit-economics ratio for USDC. They nevertheless show that distribution is a first-order cost of the network, not a discretionary marketing line at the edge.

OPERATING CHECKS
  • Evaluate gross reserve income, partner payments and issuer-retained economics separately.
  • Do not compare issuers on circulating supply without examining the cost of obtaining that supply.

Balances create bargaining power

Circle's 10-Q says the increase in payments to Coinbase reflected higher reserve income and balances held on Coinbase, while other distribution costs related to Binance and strategic partnerships also increased. The disclosure reveals the operating logic: a platform that becomes the default place to hold a stablecoin can participate in the value generated by those reserves.

This changes product strategy. Default conversion pairs, wallet placement, free transfers, card funding and merchant settlement can all create durable balances. A high-volume rail that immediately passes funds onward may be less valuable to an issuer than a lower-volume platform where users retain working balances.

OPERATING CHECKS
  • Track average retained balance and balance duration in addition to mint and transaction volume.
  • Separate incentive-driven balances from balances required for a recurring workflow.

USDG makes the reward mechanism explicit

Paxos documents a rewards engine for Global Dollar Network partners. Eligible organizational addresses are monitored through daily snapshots, with statements and payouts managed through partner tooling. That is a concrete distribution mechanism: on-chain activity attributed to a partner becomes an input to recurring rewards.

The design also exposes boundaries that promotional language often omits. Eligibility requires onboarding, end-user self-custodial wallets are not automatically supported, and the program is a business-to-business arrangement rather than an unconditional yield promise to every token holder.

OPERATING CHECKS
  • Identify the legal recipient, eligibility conditions and measurement method for every reward program.
  • Model the economics after rewards expire or qualification rules change.

The durable moat is lower operating cost

A distribution subsidy is easiest to copy when reserve yields are high and hardest to sustain when yields or issuer margins compress. Integrations that reduce reconciliation, improve redemption access, deepen local liquidity or simplify compliance can retain balances without continuously winning an incentive auction.

For distributors, the right comparison is therefore total partner value: direct rewards, integration costs, liquidity quality, support obligations, concentration risk and the effect of switching assets. For issuers, the question is whether a partner creates embedded demand or rents temporary shelf space.

OPERATING CHECKS
  • Stress-test partner economics at lower reserve yields and lower average balances.
  • Treat exclusive placement as concentration risk as well as distribution advantage.
SOURCE NOTES

Primary sources

This analysis is general information, not legal, investment or trading advice. Source conditions may change after publication.

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